CPI data anticipates drop in temperature second half of the year increases breat

From;  Author:Stand originally

Orgnaization of domestic and international much home is sent in succession pull move CPI to go up, of center of carry of battalion of financing of the bank that start line of business get in the light of CPI data, beneficial continues at food price apparent fall after a rise anticipates drop, fall after a rise 0.9 become warped end influence reduces his considerably 100 Fu Qin square, he reports with July CPI inflation will from June, also differ than calculating data with afore-mentioned data phases a 100 cloth right.

Suffer the element such as food price fall after a rise to affect Hua Erdeng square, the dweller consumed price index July (CPI) add fast hopeful successive the 3rd month gives now to fall, fall likely to the lowermost level since this year. Meanwhile, experts express, anticipate in the light of CPI data drop, the possibility of the attune on interest rate of second half of the year is not large, but reserve ratio still has on shift is likely Jiahua center.

CPI data anticipates drop in temperature build collect an edifice

Recently, orgnaization of domestic and international much home was released in succession pair July of CPI calculate data. Among them, shen Yinmo country thinks, according to the data of the Ministry of Agriculture, food price rose July than going up lunar fall after a rise is close 3 percent, pull move CPI to go up a fall after a rise 0.9 percent beautiful Luo Dasha, and finished product oil moves valence to make CPI goes up increase 0.2 percent, because this predicts,CPI went up July for 6.4% .

Battalion of financing of the bank that start line of business carries central report thinks, price of profit from food continues apparent fall after a rise, become warped end influence is reduced considerably, in July compared to the same period CPI will be in continued on the foundation June fall after a rise. Predict to will be in 6.3-6.7% , interval median is 6.5% .

Compare with afore-mentioned data phases, of other report forecast data to also differ not quite. Day agree with each other is considered predict, CPI was in July 6.1% , 6.3% between. Sun Mingchun of economist of Asia-Pacific of Lei Man's brother thinks, july CPI inflation will from June compared to the same period 7.1% drop 6.7% .

Second half of the year increases breath possibility not quite

The CPI that drops continuously makes the market right the anticipation of monetary credit policy produced delicate change. Shen Yinmo country expresses, stem from the purpose of steady economy, the possibility that predicts to be moved on interest rate of second half of the year this year already not quite. But look from the need of steam again capital, reserve ratio still has on the likelihood of tone.

Center of carry of battalion of financing of the bank that start line of business is presiding economist Lu Zheng appoint express, although " from close " expression already made known his position from the government in fade, but " prevent inflation " in policy of macroscopical adjusting control in thinking, still be in " prominent place " , because policy of credit of money of this 3 quarters is returned,loosen in the round unlikely. But considering financing of current medium and small businesses difficult question is highlighted, credit policy may undertake limit is adjusted at this point.
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